MLB Prospect Profile: Corbin Carroll

PlayerPositionOrganizationLevelETADOBHT/WTBatsThrowsDraft/Sign Year
Corbin CarollOFArizona DiamondbacksAAA, Reno Aces20228/21/20005’10”/165 lbsLL2019, 1st Rd (16)

Scouting Grades

Hit: 65
Power: 55
Run: 75
Field: 60
Arm: 55
Overall: 65

Career Stats

Minors

SeasonLevelGABAVGOBPSLGOPSwRC+ISORRBIHRK%BB%SB
2019DIA (ROK)31111.288.409.450.859135.1622320221.2%17.5%16
2019HIL (SS)1143.326.408.581.990175.256136024.5%10.2%2
2021HIL (A+)723.435.552.9131.465263.47895224.1%20.7%3
2022DIAR (ROK)26.500.6251.0001.625306.50021137.5%25%0
2022AMA (AA)58227.313.430.6431.073166.33062391624.5%14.8%20
2022RENO (AAA)33129.287.408.535.943135.2482522722.9%15.3%11
Minors Career5 Teams142539.310.426.5881.014197.329134872825.8%17.3%52
2022MLB1140.275.341.500.841132.22578229.5%9.1%0

Background

Carroll was one of the best all-around hitters and high school players going into the 2019 MLB Draft. He attended Lakeside High School in Seattle, which he represented at the 2018 Perfect Game All-American Classic and took home MVP honors. The outfielder went 1-for-1 with a triple, RBI, two walks, a stolen base, and two runs scored in that game. Carroll then followed that up with a strong senior season to solidify himself as a first-rounder. The Diamondbacks selected him 16th overall and gave him a $3,745,500 signing bonus to forgo his commitment to UCLA. He showed off his advanced approach in his pro debut season, posting an .896 OPS and stealing 18 bases while reaching Class-A Short-Season Hillsboro.

At the alternate site in 2020, Carroll impressed against top-level competition and got off to a quick start in 2021. He slashed .435/.552/.913 through seven games at High-A Hillsboro before he required shoulder surgery which ended his campaign. After 58 games at Double-A Amarillo and two in Rookie ball, he was sent to Triple-A Reno in July. The 22-year-old recorded a .943 OPS, 11 stolen bases, and seven homers at Reno before Arizona gave him the call to the show on August 30.

Strengths

Carroll is a well-rounded athlete on the baseball diamond with tons of five-tool potential. He has an advanced feel for the strike zone as he makes strong adjustments at the plate and hits the ball hard to all fields. His plus raw power has started to become unlocked after he added more strength to his profile since he was drafted. The 5-foot-10, 165 pound outfielder has always been more contact-over-power, but he still has enough pop potential to mash 15 plus taters a season in the big leagues.

The most game-changing tool that Carroll possesses is his speed, as he’s a big threat to steal. Over his first two seasons, he was caught stealing just once while swiping 21 bags in 49 games. Across three minor league levels this season, the Seattle native whacked 24 bombs while also stealing 31 bases. The power potential is there for him to flirt with 20-20 seasons. So far in the big leagues, he was caught in his lone steal attempt. The speed tool also helps him have plenty of range in the outfield and he has solid enough arm strength to play plus defense in center.

Weaknesses

With the makeup that Carroll has and his swift move up through the Arizona system, there isn’t a lot not to like. At just 165 pounds, the power may not come right away against big league caliber arms. But so far, the left-handed hitter has two four baggers in 11 major league games. While he doesn’t whiff a lot, with a history of low swinging strike marks, Carroll has still posted mid-to-low 20 percent strikeout rates in his career. He has had high walk and OBP marks which has been driven by his strong plate discipline. But that has also led to him being too passive and striking out looking.

Pro Comparison

The one player that comes to mind for Carroll with his power-speed duo is Byron Buxton. The Twins outfielder has tons of talent, but has had trouble staying on the field throughout his career. Carroll has all the same tools that Buxton has but could reach an even higher ceiling by staying healthy. Buxton was able to stay healthy for most of this season, but went down on August 23 with a low grade right hip strain. Prior to that he had whacked 28 four baggers and stole six bases. If the shoulder gives Carroll no more issues moving forward, he should be able to reach a high ceiling.

Fantasy Impact

With Carroll now in the big leagues, a lot of fantasy baseball players have already added him to their rosters. If he is still available, pick him up immediately for your playoff run. He is extra sexy for OBP leagues, but his speed-power combo makes him a must have for any format.

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Main Image Credit: Embed from Getty Images

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